Q1 2025 Aviation Report
Miami Investment Banking Firm Cassel Salpeter Issues Aviation Industry Deal Report
South Florida firm publishes Q1 2025 Aviation Deal Report surveying company M&A, deal flow, and market trends
Miami Investment Banking Firm Cassel Salpeter Issues Aviation Industry Deal Report
South Florida firm publishes Q1 2025 Aviation Deal Report surveying company M&A, deal flow, and market trends
By Ana Mulero
More capital left biotech than entered the sector in 42 of 52 weeks of 2024. It was the second consecutive year of a prolonged downturn in biotech investment following the COVID-19 pandemic boom. And now, macro headwinds are adding even more to the gale pressuring the industry.
Bruce Booth, partner at early-stage biotech venture capital firm Atlas Venture, told BioSpace that “the biotech capital markets have been super challenging in the past couple of months; tariffs and macro issues, FDA turmoil, NIH issues and so much more.”
“There’s been no place for investors and companies to hide,” Booth added. “The daily volatility is a nauseating roller coaster.” Still, he emphasized that these gyrations haven’t shaken his belief in biotech’s long-term promise.
Frustrated investors have been pulling back from biotech, accelerating the flow of funds out of therapeutics development and signaling a sharp decline in confidence in the sector’s near-term potential. In 2024, capitulation in biotech got “so bad it might just be good,” Christopher Raymond, managing director and senior research analyst at Piper Sandler, told BioSpace.
Capitulation marks a moment of extreme investor pessimism when money exits the sector rapidly and sustainably. Christopher Garabedian, CEO of life sciences accelerator Xontogeny and Perceptive Advisors portfolio manager, explained that capitulation occurs when investors say, “We’re done,” and collectively sell off their holdings, unable to justify being in biotech anymore.
On a more positive note, Piper analysts said that such massive outflows often indicate that the worst of a downturn may be over, with the market potentially approaching or already hitting bottom—a sign that a recovery is finally on its way. This time, however, nascent signs of recovery in 2025 have been overshadowed by political turbulence and trade tensions.
“As the first quarter ends, the mood among biotech investors is poor, with frustration, despair and resignation widely felt,” TD Cowen’s analysts wrote in a recent note.
Biotech, more than other sectors, relies on investor confidence to sustain the lengthy and costly therapy development process.
The roots of 2024’s biotech struggles stretch back to late 2021, when the market began cooling after the COVID–19 pandemic-driven boom. 2022 and 2023 were marked by a sharp decline in IPOs, shrinking private financing and waves of industry layoffs.
“In the pandemic years, we saw a surge in IPOs due to lower interest rates and an influx of nontraditional capital,” EY’s Arda Ural, who specializes in strategic planning and asset valuation in biotech, told BioSpace. “However, most of those assets have not lived up to their initial pricing and are trading underwater for their investments.”
Ira Leiderman, healthcare managing director at investment banking firm Cassel Salpeter & Co., echoed this sentiment. “Biotechs take a long time to die,” he told BioSpace. “But over the past few years, we’ve seen companies exhaust their runway. Some have restructured and many have gone bankrupt.”
Piper reported that in 2022, the biotech market held up better than in the two years that followed. While inflows slowed after December 2021, money was still entering the sector early in the year, and there were no major signs of panic.
The proportion of rising stocks versus falling ones, known as the breadth ratio, is another proxy for market sentiment, with lower values suggesting a broad-based retreat. According to Piper, the breadth ratio stood at 0.63 in late January 2022. By contrast, 2023 marked a deeper downturn, with the breadth ratio dipping to 0.29 in November.
Capitulation, too, followed this trend. Investor sentiment weakened as 36 of the first 45 weeks in 2023 saw outflows. Piper called 2023 “abysmal,” with net outflows of $16 billion, compared to $12.7 billion in 2024.
In 2024, the pressure continued, with biotech fund outflows occurring in 42 of 52 weeks, according to Piper Sandler data. Lipper/AMG Data Services put out similar findings, revealing that 80–85% of 2024 biotech investment funds experienced outflows.
“We’ve had essentially two straight years—2023 and 2024—of nothing but negative fund flows,” Raymond said. The breadth ratio also dipped in 2024, down to 0.21—the “lowest level since 2009 and below the magic number of 0.3,” which has historically been the point of a market rebound, he said.
This trend does not necessarily indicate a complete rejection of biotech, Garabedian stressed. Investors may be exiting simply to balance their portfolios, offsetting gains elsewhere, he told BioSpace.
Indeed, history suggests that when the breadth ratio falls below 0.3 like in December 2024, the S&P biotech index, or XBI, typically gains around 16% over the next six months. Booth said that as 2025 unfolds, the historical pattern Piper highlighted provides a glimmer of optimism for the industry.
“Biotech will remain in recovery mode [in 2025], but that doesn’t mean pessimism prevails,” Evaluate’s 2025 preview states.
But with the administration threatening a variety of tariffs and wiping out much of the government’s workforce, including many top regulators, the path of that recovery has become ever more uncertain.
“Given the current environment, we don’t anticipate the IPO market to offer a window in the next 3–6 months,” Ural said.
Still, Booth remains hopeful about biotech’s outlook. He said that while current volatility is “nauseating,” early-stage investors can take the long view.
“Fortunately, as early-stage venture investors, we can take a very long-term view of the space,” Booth told BioSpace, “and our perspective on the sector’s 5–10 year horizon remains very positive.”
He emphasized, however, that macroeconomic stability will be crucial for sustaining momentum. Upheaval at the FDA and other agencies under Robert F. Kennedy, Jr.’s oversight as secretary of the Department of Health and Human Services continues to ripple across the industry, as do the continued tariff threats from President Donald Trump.
Prior to these developments, biotech had set itself up for a recovery. Private investment had strengthened, particularly in early-stage companies. “Both seed-stage and Series A have seen strong investment,” Kale Frank, managing director of Silicon Valley Bank’s (SVB) life science and healthcare division, told BioSpace. 2024 also was the second-largest year for public equity issuance ever, Frank added.
With valuations adjusted downward, biotech companies adopted leaner operating strategies and were prioritizing their most promising assets. Garabedian said this is a “silver lining” highlighted by the Piper data. “All these things are in play now, so the runways these companies have when they do raise money will get farther.”
Still, in this environment, only the strong survive, said Margery Fischbein, healthcare managing director at CS. The gap between the “haves and have-nots” in biotech is widening, she warned. Thus, even when the sector does buoy, “I don’t think we’ll see a rising tide lifting all boats.”
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Miami Investment Banking Firm Cassel Salpeter Issues Tech Industry Deal Report
South Florida firm publishes Q1 2025 Tech Deal Report surveying year’s company M&A, deal flow, and market trends
By Demitri Diakantonis
April 7, 2025
Blame the tariffs, blame reluctant buyers and sellers — blame whatever you want — but the fact of the matter is dealflow is continues to putter along. In fact, March’s totals were at the lowest level since May 2013. Here’s our monthly deal analysis.
According to LSEG, there were 52 mid-market deals valued at about $13.7 billion last month compared to 74 deals valued close to $22 billion for the same period in 2024. The data is based on North American completed deals worth between $100 billion and $1 billion.
Year-to-date totals are 5 percent off of 2024’s transaction total of 206 deals, though value totals are 5 percent higher at $61.7 million due to higher prices per deal done this year.
Expectations were high coming into the year that there would be an uptick in dealflow after many quarters in the doldrums. Those expectations have yet to be met.
“New deals are taking longer to bring to market,” says Cassel Salpeter Co-Founder James Cassel. “The economic uncertainty and hesitancy among market participants contributed to fewer opportunities materializing than we had initially projected.”
One bright spot has been the real estate sector, driven mostly by the demand for data centers. The industry saw 30 deals valued at close to $6.8 billion compared to 12 deals valued at around $4 billion in the 2024 first quarter. A recent deal from March came from 1547 and Harrison Street, which acquired DRFortress, Hawaii’s largest carrier-neutral data center, from GI Partners.
Technology also saw an uptick in dealmaking, thanks to AI-driven deals, with 55 deals valued at about $15.7 billion compared to 49 deals valued at around $11.2 billion in the 2024 first quarter.
The healthcare industry, historically a staple of mid-market M&A, continues to decline with just 22 deals compared to 39 at this time last year with deal value dropping from $8.9 billion to $5.3 billion. The industrials, retail and consumer staples sectors also saw sharp declines.
In the league tables, Piper Sandler (NYSE: PIPR) jumped to first place by advising on the most deals (10). Evercore (NYSE: EVR) and Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS) round out the top three. They advised on nine and seven deals, respectively.
“We anticipate a choppy market until there’s greater clarity and stability,” Cassel says. “Buyers and sellers remain hesitant and worry about the effect of tariff inflation and consumer sentiment with concerns of a recession seeming closer than they have over the past 12 months.”
Reach Cassel at jcassel@cs-ib.com.
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April 2, 2025
Generational wealth is a time-honored reality for family-owned businesses and family offices tasked with protecting assets for current members and descendants. Yet, handing off the reins from a family’s elders to their offspring can be uncertain.
How can families grow their business enterprise or wealth to ensure holdings are protected, whether for eventual sale of the company or distribution to family members down the road?
In this roundtable discussion – hosted by First American Bank and held at the South Florida Business Journal office – entrepreneurs, bankers and advisors explored the importance of succession planning to prepare and protect the family business for future needs. The ideas discussed included employee stock option plans (ESOPs), acquisition by a private equity firm or investor, and strategies to keep the business within the family. Solutions vary depending on whether the family is seeking to pass the management torch, an exit, a payout, or family-office security. Yet, the decisions made today can have a lasting impact on valuations in the future.
Moderated by Brian Hagan, the Florida Market President of First American Bank, panelists agreed financial education is central to effective planning and future success. Teaching today’s members, with a goal of broad understanding of the strategies for wealth preservation, can help prepare family elders and their progeny. It also can align individual expectations for the future of the family organization.
Choosing a successor
One such family business is Padrón Cigars. Founded in 1964 by then-recent Cuban immigrant José Orlando Padrón, the company today is led by his son and company president Jorge Padrón. The son is one of five siblings involved in the business, with over a dozen progeny in the family.
As his father aged, he turned leadership to Jorge Padrón – but not before the son worked in the company, learned the business, and came to know his father’s intent and wishes, Jorge Padrón told fellow panelists. Like many who take over family businesses, nothing was handed to him. “I had to earn that responsibility,” Padrón recalled.
Padrón watched his father lead, learning along the way how to navigate his own leadership, especially when making big decisions for the business or family.
“It was tough, more so for me than my siblings. He never told me how to act or what to do. I watched. That gave me the opportunity to see how he did things, and appreciate what he did,” said Padrón. He admitted it sometimes gets challenging leading a family business with a large family separated by skills, generations and individual expectations.
“I never took for granted the power or authority he gave me to run the company,” Padrón said. “Sometimes, in family businesses, we have to make big decisions on how to run things, and that’s where it can get hairy. You have to check your ego at the door and do a little more work than others. But it’s all for the greater good of the family and business…The legacy has to be preserved. Our name is on that cigar.”
Tony Argiz, South Florida managing partner with accounting firm BDO USA, acknowledged that the Padrón family example speaks to how transitions can work well. Whether through the father’s support or the son’s humility, the transition was likely made easier by the brand his father built.
Educating the next gen
How can a family business or investment office best manage itself when it has parents, offspring, and even grandkids involved in its operations, financial needs, or succession?
“Planning must consider tax implications from any sale or divestment, as well as how management will carry forward,” said William Stewart, managing director with PCE Investment Bankers. Management makes the decisions, and liquidity ensures the finances are in place to follow through, especially when taxes are due on sale proceeds, distributions, or death.
Mauricio Rivero, national tax partner at Nelson Mullins, noted that companies take different approaches toward family members. Some, like Jorge Padrón, become active leaders.
“This person may be the oldest, the strongest character, have natural leadership skills, or they have an education in management. The oldest may not even want a role; he or she might prefer little to no daily involvement but still receive remuneration or distributions,” Rivero said.
Deciding who is included or excluded, and in what capacity, or whether a sale or reinvestment is in the family’s or company’s best interest, is up to the elders and the family. Rivero’s firm often will consult with clients to ensure the structure is in place, whether for a family office or trust company to manage proceeds should the business be sold.
Roles and structures vary. Some family members are leaders, while others may be shareholders without a managerial role. For family members who are inexperienced or ill-suited for leadership, holding a shareholder role allows them to stay involved without management duties, Stewart explained. An ideal leader may possess the traits of an entrepreneur – thoughtful, yet opportunistic, spontaneous or reactionary. They become an extension of the culture.
“You give them a position that keeps the family together, without the tension,” Stewart said. “There are all sorts of dynamics, and these change. Someone has to be in charge. If not, you’re inviting failure.”
The success of such designations, compensation decisions or the choice to bring in outside management “depends on the family dynamic,” said James Cassel, chairman of Cassel Salpeter & Co. Are there people “on payroll” who don’t work, and are there discrepancies in the amounts each person may earn? Are the patriarchs and next generations aligned in their vision for various situations?
If needed, a consultant can be brought in, not to serve as a manager, but as a facilitator to help educate the family members about different situations or to lead discussions – or address concerns.
“The consultant can be the bandleader that puts them in the right place,” Cassel said.
“The consultant can review such topics as compensation, salary, bonuses or distributions,” added Thomas Wells IV, CEO of First American Bank. While a shareholder or family leadership can have those conversations, a third party brings a neutral perspective to the discussion.
Keep an eye on the prize
Most successful companies have an eye on their shared future. Sometimes, leadership at growing businesses seeks to reward employees with an ownership stake. An employee stock ownership plan, (ESOP) lets employees acquire and own part of the company they work for. The plan can motivate workers-turned-owners, while also boosting productivity and improving retention.
Maybe they’re growing the business with hopes of an exit, or they have no intention of selling, but a private equity firm or investor comes along with an enticing offer.
In either case, it’s important for the family to position the business in the best possible light, by studying valuations to understand how much the business might be worth in current market conditions.
Wells suggested families explore their true motivation for valuation. Is it for a sale, estate purposes, or insurance valuation to protect against inheritance or “death” tax hits?
“The truest valuation is the market,” Wells said.
Valuation can be a challenge for family businesses. Owners might seek the input of a wealth manager, who may not understand the nuances of valuing a particular industry.
“A friend at the country club may boast they sold for some multiple of revenues or EBITA, when it might have been a fraction of that,” Cassel joked. Numbers vary by industry or performance, and the family may have various assets that would be part of the sale.
Fernando Mello, a certified business broker with Transworld Business Advisors, said it’s best to have “a constant eye on the books” and not wait until an offer comes along.
“The sooner the owner looks at their business, the better,” Mello said. “Most don’t do that until it’s very close to an exit.”
“How are the records?” Argiz asked, rhetorically. Solid financial records can help determine the strength of cash flow or profitability. “Are there add-backs or adjustments, even other financial situations that could increase tax liability,” added Mello.
How is the quality of earnings? This can reveal how well a company’s reported earnings predict future cash flows and is especially important for potential investors seeking an acquisition or merger.
Other paperwork could include formal leadership roles and succession plans, shareholder agreements, even leases or client or vendor contracts. Are key employees under contract?
Again, an outsider – an accountant, attorney or business advisor – can help run these numbers or documents, and “allow the owner to focus on the business,” Argiz said.
“Entrepreneurs might not be looking day to day to sell their business. It’s not positive when the business owner takes their eye off the ball,” Argiz said. “They’re executing their vision.
Speed round: How can family offices and small businesses plan today for a stronger tomorrow?
William Stewart, Managing Director, PCE Investment Bankers: “From the education side, it’s understanding the options you have in business. Not everyone is a fit for private equity [acquisition]; not everyone wants to sell to a strategic buyer. ESOPs can work great for some companies. You have to understand the options and how they’ll work for you. And you can’t start early enough teaching the next generation to help them understand their role and how they can participate in building family wealth and the operating company.”
Mauricio Rivero, National Tax Partner, Nelson Mullins: “Education and understanding options are key to any family operation. They need to understand the history of where their wealth comes from, and some of them don’t. They need to know what the options are going forward, from a business level, and where they are and where they see themselves and the family in the future. If somebody comes knocking on the door looking to buy, is this something they want to do, or will it disintegrate family unity?”
Jorge Padrón, President, Padrón Cigars: “A lot of this applies to everyday operations. We as a company, and I, within it, must work toward a more efficient company, with better communication between our family and employees, and understanding of our roles. Who knows what will happen in the future? But if the people involved in the business are well- educated and understand the dynamics, it creates a much stronger company.”
Fernando Mello, Certified Business Broker, Transworld Business Advisors: “The key person from the business – the entrepreneur – is not necessarily the one to drive this. They need to be smart enough to surround themselves with the right people and advisors. When something like this is considered, we require an investment of time and money.”
James Cassel, Chairman, Cassel Salpeter & Co.: “There are those family businesses where the people at the top look at their family members and really believe they’re not the right people to run the business going forward. This fork in the road leads to the question, ‘Do we bring in professional management, or do we sell the business, leading to wealth created in a different fashion?’ That kind of planning needs to be considered, and you have to be very honest about it.”
Tony Argiz, South Florida Managing Partner, BDO USA: “Education within the family is critical. They need to understand where their money came from and how those pennies were earned and saved. ‘Where did that money come from?’ That’s hard work. You have to pass it from generation to generation, and the only way to do that is by being smart and aware of everything you’re doing.”
Thomas Wells IV, CEO, First American Bank: “There’s not a stone tablet that says, ‘You should be rich.’ That’s a really important concept for the next generation. It means, you’re going to have to learn, participate and figure out how to manage your money. Because your wealth, which you have been blessed to receive, is transitory and ephemeral. It will disappear if you don’t take care of it. That takes work. ‘How did you invest it? How did you make it happen?’ That’s the education. If you sit down with a bunch of 20- and 30-year-olds, the second and third generations, they don’t know what a trust vehicle is, what a beneficiary is, what a shareholder is. It’s basic stuff that needs to be thought through. The family can’t buy that. It must be ingrained as part of the culture.”
Brian Hagan, Florida Market President, First American Bank: “We help educate our customers on this. For many families, whether it’s early in the process or they’ve been educating the next generation from the beginning, it’s an ongoing effort and comes in many forms. First and foremost, it starts with good advisors.”
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By Jill Malandrino
April 2, 2025
Jim Cassel, Co-Founder & Chairman, Cassel Salpeter & Co., joins Jill Malandrino on Nasdaq TradeTalks to discuss how macroeconomic trends are impacting dealmaking, investor appetite, and corporate valuations.
TradeTalks broadcasts live from MarketSite in Times Square, the historic Philadelphia Trading Floor and Global Industry Conferences and Events. Featuring conversations with top industry thought leaders on trends, news and education.
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By Lee Hayhurst, ABNcast
April 2, 2025
Joey Smith, director of aviation services at investment banking firm Cassel Salpeter spoke to ABN editorial director Lee Hayhurst in this latest edition of ABNcast about a report the firm has published looking at the impact that Artificial Intelligence is having on the sector. He also expresses his concerns about the looming threat of US tariffs by the Trump administration on prospects for the industry.
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